AI-generated. Built by Claude from live web sources. A human reviews every report before it publishes. Errors get the report pulled and reissued corrected. Read the framework.
Collapse Risk Instrument

Every collapsed
institution looked fine
six months before.

Nike had the catalog. Kirkland & Ellis had the mandate. Paramount had the culture.

The numbers were real. The belief contract was already gone.

The Collapse Risk Instrument reads what the numbers don't show. The five-variable sequence that runs before every institutional collapse. Same shape every time. Same order every time.

See it live: Nike Paramount
The five variables
Contract drift
The gap between the story they're selling and what the audience actually sees. Scored 1 to 10.
Root cause
Shame or betrayal. The audience felt foolish or they felt sold out. Different breaks. Different endings.
Contract depth
How deep the audience went in. Surface investors exit quietly. True believers become the loudest critics on the way out.
Collapse stage
Zero to five. Drift to inversion. Stage two is the last point where any of this is still fixable.
Immunity load
How much runway is left. When it runs out, the next mistake isn't a mistake. It's the verdict.
Used to apply your one free report and to follow up about it. Not required for paid reports or license key holders.
Works on your own company, not just public subjects.
Running analysis
Free 1 report
  • Five-variable analysis
  • Prescription & verdict
  • Live web search
  • Sourced findings
  • Current as of today
  • Shareable report link
Training data through mid-2025. Good for established subjects with long histories. Not for live situations.
Paid $49 / report
  • Five-variable analysis
  • Prescription & verdict
  • Live web search
  • Sourced findings
  • Current as of today
  • Shareable report link
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